30年来首次！美国法院系统也被卷入停摆

Core Viewpoint - The current U.S. government shutdown is evolving into a significant political crisis, likely extending until November, with no signs of resolution from either the White House or the Democrats [1] Group 1: Government Shutdown Duration and Impact - Analysts predict the shutdown could last approximately 41 days, a significant increase from earlier estimates of 14 days [2] - The shutdown has already lasted 17 days, with the longest previous shutdown lasting 35 days during Trump's first term [1][2] - The federal judiciary is beginning to reduce non-essential functions, affecting over 30,000 employees, marking the first such action in nearly 30 years [2][3] Group 2: Economic Consequences - The number of federal workers applying for unemployment benefits has surged, reaching the highest level since the last major shutdown in January 2019 [6][11] - Economic estimates suggest that each week of the shutdown could reduce GDP by approximately 0.1 to 0.2 percentage points, with potential long-term impacts on an already fragile economy [9][13] - The White House has indicated that prolonged shutdowns could lead to significant cuts in government programs favored by Democrats [9] Group 3: Political Dynamics - Public opinion shows equal blame on both Republicans and Democrats regarding the shutdown, complicating negotiations and prolonging the deadlock [10] - Analysts suggest that the shutdown may become the longest in U.S. history, with potential opportunities for resolution arising from impacts on travel and healthcare [10]