国产商业火箭 ,发射成本最高差6倍
财联社·2025-10-19 13:41

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rapid acceleration of domestic commercial rocket launches in China, highlighting the challenges and bottlenecks in the industry, particularly in reusable rocket technology and launch capacity [2][4][10]. Group 1: Launch Frequency and Capacity - In August alone, China completed 9 commercial launch missions, indicating a potential annual launch frequency nearing 100 if sustained [3][4]. - The current launch capacity in China is significantly lower than that of the U.S., with a disparity of approximately four to six times, as exemplified by SpaceX's Starship's near-Earth orbit capacity of around 150 tons compared to China's Long March 5's 25 tons [4][6]. Group 2: Cost Structure and Challenges - The cost of launching solid rockets in China is approximately 60,000 to 70,000 yuan per kilogram, with future liquid rockets expected to reduce costs to over 20,000 yuan per kilogram [5][6]. - The average cost of Long March 3B rocket launches is about 39 million yuan per mission, translating to approximately 70,900 yuan per kilogram [6]. Group 3: Reusable Rocket Technology - The article emphasizes that the commercial viability of reusable rocket technology has not yet been fully realized in China, with most companies still in the single-use verification stage [3][8]. - Liquid reusable rockets are identified as a key area for development, with several companies, including Blue Arrow Aerospace and Star Glory, actively working on vertical recovery technology [11][13]. Group 4: Future Development and Production Capacity - The industry is expected to see significant advancements in reusable rocket technology within the next one to two years, which will help alleviate the current "many satellites, few rockets" situation [10][17]. - Companies are ramping up production capabilities, with plans for annual production of 20 medium to large liquid rockets by various firms, including the planned production capacity of 30 rockets by Tianbing Technology [16][17].