郑丽文披挂上阵，赖清德铤而走险几率大增

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the potential political strategies of Lai Ching-te and the implications of the recent election of Zheng Liwen as the new chairperson of the Kuomintang (KMT), emphasizing the challenges and risks involved in the upcoming elections [4][5][6]. Group 1: Political Landscape - Zheng Liwen's election as KMT chairperson with over half of the votes signifies a shift in the party's approach towards cross-strait relations, aiming to clarify the "One China" principle and counter "Taiwan independence" sentiments [4][5]. - The article suggests that if the KMT performs well in the 2026 local elections, it could increase the likelihood of Lai Ching-te taking risky actions in the 2028 presidential election [4][6]. Group 2: Strategies and Risks - Zheng Liwen's strategy involves a two-pronged approach with her and Lu Xiuyan alternating in leadership roles, which poses a significant challenge to Lai Ching-te [6]. - The article speculates that Lai Ching-te might resort to extreme measures, such as declaring martial law, to secure electoral victory, although this is deemed unlikely due to the potential repercussions from mainland China [7][8]. - Lai's possible risky actions could include creating a self-inflicted crisis to garner sympathy from voters or targeting political opponents through legal means [8].