创新药风向突变？官宣114亿美元大单，股价却跳水丨港美股看台

Core Viewpoint - The collaboration between Innovent Biologics and Takeda Pharmaceutical, valued at up to $11.4 billion, did not significantly impact Innovent's stock price despite initial gains [2][4][9]. Group 1: Collaboration Details - Innovent Biologics announced a global strategic partnership with Takeda Pharmaceutical to co-develop cancer therapies, with a total deal value potentially reaching $11.4 billion [2][4]. - The agreement includes an upfront payment of $1.2 billion (including $100 million for strategic equity investment) and potential milestone payments, along with sales revenue sharing [6]. - The collaboration focuses on three key drug candidates: IBI363, IBI343, and IBI3001, which are in various stages of clinical development [6]. Group 2: Market Reaction - Despite a 9.9% increase at the opening, Innovent's stock fell by 1.96% by the end of the trading day, closing at HKD 85.2 per share [2][9]. - This trend of initial stock price surges followed by declines has been observed in other recent biotech deals, indicating a cooling market for innovative drug business development (BD) transactions [8][10]. Group 3: Industry Context - The innovative drug BD market has seen a decline in transaction heat, with several companies experiencing similar stock price reactions post-announcement [8][10]. - Recent statistics show that from January 1 to October 17, 2025, there were 135 license-out transactions in China, totaling $4.976 billion in upfront payments and $102.996 billion in total deal value [15]. - Analysts suggest that the innovative drug sector is undergoing a transformation, with a focus on high-efficiency R&D and strong overseas collaboration as key drivers for future growth [16].