券商中国·2025-10-22 12:46Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a high-level fluctuation, with several foreign financial giants expressing optimism about the future market performance [1][2]. Group 1: Goldman Sachs Insights - Goldman Sachs predicts that the Chinese stock market is entering a slow bull market, expecting major indices to rise by approximately 30% by the end of 2027, driven by a 12% growth in earnings and a 5%-10% upward adjustment in valuations [2][4]. - The firm identifies four key supports for this sustained bull market: favorable policies, accelerated economic growth, low current valuations, and strong capital inflows [4][5]. - Investors are advised to shift their mindset from "selling high" to "buying low" as the bull market unfolds, focusing on growth stocks, particularly in sectors like AI and emerging private enterprises [6]. Group 2: JPMorgan Insights - JPMorgan maintains a positive outlook on the CSI 300 index, anticipating that the shift of household assets towards the stock market will sustain the rebound trend until the end of 2026 [7]. - The firm emphasizes the potential of the "anti-involution" theme and service consumption opportunities, which could lead to an investment boom over the next 18-24 months [7][8]. - JPMorgan also highlights that compared to developed markets, China's service consumption has significant room for growth, particularly in healthcare, financial services, and entertainment sectors [8]. Group 3: UBS Insights - UBS analysts believe the market outlook is positive in the medium term, with growth style likely remaining the main investment theme despite a recent shift towards value stocks [9]. - The firm attributes the recent market style changes to factors such as escalating US-China trade tensions and profit-taking in the tech sector, but expects these factors to have limited impact on medium-term trends [9][10]. - UBS suggests that the current risk-reward profile for investing in growth stocks, particularly in the ChiNext index, remains favorable [10].