格隆汇APP·2025-10-22 12:46Core Viewpoint - The cultivated diamond sector is experiencing a surge in stock prices due to recent export controls on synthetic diamond products, despite the industry's previous struggles with profitability and market challenges [3][4][8]. Group 1: Market Performance - Several companies in the cultivated diamond sector, including Huanghe Xuanfeng and Sifangda, have seen significant stock price increases, with Huanghe Xuanfeng achieving three consecutive trading limits [3][4]. - The superhard materials index has risen by 16.64% since October 9, with companies like Huifeng Diamond and Sifangda seeing stock price increases of over 50% [4]. - Five out of 17 stocks in the cultivated diamond sector have doubled in price this year, with ST Yazhen's stock price increasing nearly 600% from its lowest point [5]. Group 2: Export Controls and Industry Challenges - The recent export controls on synthetic diamond products are seen as a potential lifeline for the struggling cultivated diamond sector, which has faced significant losses in recent years [8][15]. - Companies like ST Yazhen and Huanghe Xuanfeng have reported substantial losses, with ST Yazhen accumulating over 400 million yuan in losses since 2021 [9][12]. - Despite the potential benefits of export controls, there are concerns about their effectiveness in reversing the industry's long-term decline [25][27]. Group 3: Technological and Market Developments - Cultivated diamonds are increasingly being recognized for their applications beyond jewelry, particularly in the semiconductor industry due to their superior thermal conductivity [29][31]. - The diamond market is projected to grow significantly, with estimates suggesting a potential market size increase from $0.5 billion in 2025 to $152.4 billion by 2030, driven by demand in data centers and electric vehicles [37]. - Companies are actively exploring diamond applications in semiconductor cooling solutions, with several firms announcing projects focused on developing diamond materials for this purpose [40][42]. Group 4: Structural Issues and Future Outlook - The cultivated diamond industry in China faces structural challenges, particularly in the high-value processing segment, where India dominates the market [49][50]. - The industry's future growth will depend on technological advancements, market expansion, and collaboration across the supply chain [51].