Core Viewpoint - Emerging markets are expected to continue outperforming the S&P 500 index due to favorable conditions, including a weak dollar, advancements in technology, and China's economic policies [3][4]. Group 1: Emerging Markets Performance - MSCI Emerging Markets have outperformed the S&P 500 index this year, with conditions in place for this trend to continue [4]. - The potential for a sustained weak dollar is beneficial for emerging market assets [4]. - The return of foreign capital to China since 2025 marks a shift from net outflows since 2021, indicating renewed interest from international investors [4]. Group 2: China's Economic Strategy - The Chinese government aims to ensure healthy economic development and is focused on becoming a technology leader through domestic innovation [6][8]. - The government is exercising restraint in economic stimulus to avoid unintended consequences, while also coordinating actions to respond positively to economic data [7][8]. - There is a significant amount of cash held by Chinese households, but consumer confidence remains a critical factor for spending [7]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - Investors are increasingly open to investing in China, with many already having exposure to the market [5]. - The Chinese stock market is viewed as attractive, especially if it can demonstrate strong returns, which could encourage more U.S. investors to consider it [5][9]. - The current valuation of the Chinese stock market is seen as more favorable compared to Japan's peak valuation in the 1990s [9]. Group 4: Regional Market Insights - The South Korean stock market has seen significant gains, with the KOSPI index up over 60% this year, yet it remains relatively inexpensive compared to historical valuations [10]. - There is potential for South Korea to be viewed as an independent investment opportunity rather than just a regional portfolio component, driven by government policies aimed at enhancing value [10].
4万亿美元资产管理巨头发声!
中国基金报·2025-10-22 14:39