中美是“围棋与扑克”的对决，特朗普胜算低

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the negotiation tactics of Trump resemble a poker game, where he exerts pressure and escalates threats if the opponent does not yield, while China's approach is likened to a strategic game of Go [2][6] - The ongoing U.S.-China tensions are intensifying, with Trump expressing anger over China's restrictions on rare earth exports and threatening to impose 100% additional tariffs on Chinese goods [2][4] - China is not showing signs of backing down, having reduced imports of U.S. soybeans during the harvest season, thereby increasing pressure on the U.S. [2][4] Group 2 - If the trade war continues, it is anticipated that Trump will suffer more damage, as the analysis suggests that his threats are merely bluster [4] - There is uncertainty regarding the future of U.S.-China relations, with predictions indicating that Trump aims for a "beautiful trade deal" but does not want to appear as having failed in negotiations [4] - A potential meeting between U.S. and Chinese leaders at an international conference in South Korea at the end of October could lead to some form of trade agreement, but it is unlikely to resolve the underlying conflicts in trade and high-tech sectors [4]