中国基金报·2025-10-24 16:13Market Performance - US stock market surged to new highs, with the Dow Jones rising over 500 points, Nasdaq increasing by over 1%, and S&P 500 also gaining around 1% [3][4] Economic Indicators - US inflation data showed unexpected cooling, with September CPI rising 0.3% month-on-month and 3% year-on-year, both below Dow Jones estimates of 0.4% and 3.1% respectively [4] - Core CPI, excluding food and energy, increased by 0.2% month-on-month and 3% year-on-year, also lower than expected [4] - The CPI report is seen as a positive sign for the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate cuts in December [5] Federal Reserve Outlook - Market anticipates the Federal Reserve will continue its rate-cutting path, with traders betting on a total of 120 basis points in cuts over the next 12 months, bringing the benchmark rate down to 2.9% [5] - Analysts from B. Riley Wealth and Goldman Sachs expect the Fed to proceed with planned rate cuts, emphasizing the importance of labor market data over inflation targets [5] Consumer Confidence - US consumer confidence fell to a five-month low in October, with the index at 53.6, down from 55.1 in September, primarily due to concerns over persistent high prices [9] - Consumers expect a long-term inflation rate of 3.9%, slightly up from 3.7% the previous month, indicating ongoing worries about economic conditions [9][10] - The current conditions index dropped to its lowest level since August 2022, reflecting consumer dissatisfaction with high prices [10][11] Technology Sector - Technology stocks experienced significant gains, contributing to the overall market rally [6]