特斯拉Optimus V3发布跳水，二级市场态度存疑

Core Viewpoint - Tesla's third-quarter earnings report showed revenue growth but a significant decline in net profit, leading to mixed reactions in the stock market. The anticipated release of the Optimus Gen3 prototype has been delayed, but the market's response has shifted positively post-earnings call, indicating potential investor interest in Tesla's AI and robotics initiatives [2][3]. Financial Performance - Tesla's Q3 revenue increased by 12% year-over-year to $28.1 billion, while adjusted net profit fell by 29% to $1.77 billion, which was below expectations [2]. - Following the earnings report, Tesla's stock initially dropped by over 5% but later rebounded, closing up 2.28% on October 23, before experiencing a decline of 3.4% on October 24 [2]. Optimus Gen3 Developments - The Optimus Gen3 prototype is expected to be unveiled in Q1 2026, with the first production line currently under construction [2][3]. - There was a discrepancy regarding the timeline for the prototype's reveal, with some sources claiming it was delayed, while others argue that no specific timeline was initially provided by Musk [3]. - The production capacity target of 1 million units per year was misreported; Musk indicated that the production line is being built with hopes to start production by the end of next year, but did not provide specific guidance on production capacity for the upcoming year [4]. Market Reactions and Future Expectations - The market's reaction to the earnings call and Optimus updates has been volatile, with significant fluctuations in stock prices reflecting investor sentiment [5]. - The upcoming events, including factory audits and the November shareholder meeting, are expected to serve as catalysts for the stock and the broader robotics sector [5]. - The core supply chain for the Optimus project includes several key players, with a focus on companies that have established production bases overseas to mitigate trade risks [7]. Industry Insights - The robotics sector has seen a surge in interest, particularly in September, driven by positive developments related to Tesla and the Optimus project, leading to significant stock price increases for related companies [5]. - The current market environment is characterized by uncertainty due to various factors, including tariff issues and quarterly earnings, which have led to a defensive investment strategy among institutions [5]. - The potential for a major breakthrough in the robotics sector is anticipated in Q4, with numerous events and product launches expected to drive interest and investment [5].