券商中国·2025-10-26 07:24Group 1: Central Bank Focus - The upcoming week is termed "Super Central Bank Week," with major central banks including the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of Japan, and Bank of Canada set to announce interest rate decisions [1][2] - The market widely anticipates a 25 basis point rate cut from the Federal Reserve, bringing the target range to 3.75%–4% [2][3] - The probability of a 25 basis point cut in October is estimated at 98.3%, while a cumulative cut of 50 basis points by December is projected at 93.4% [2] Group 2: Economic Indicators - Investors will focus on the U.S. core PCE price index for September, which previously showed a year-on-year growth rate of 2.9%, exceeding the Federal Reserve's 2% target [3] - The U.S. GDP data for Q3 will be released on October 30, with estimates suggesting that the ongoing government shutdown may reduce the GDP growth rate by 0.45 percentage points [4] Group 3: Earnings Season Highlights - The upcoming week is expected to be the busiest for earnings reports, with over 170 companies, including five of the "Tech Giants" (Microsoft, Apple, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta), set to report [5][6] - Apple is projected to report earnings of $1.76 per share and revenue of $101.71 billion, driven by strong pre-sales of the new iPhone 17 and recovery in the Chinese market [5] - Alphabet's expected revenue is $86 billion, with earnings per share at $2.17, while Amazon's revenue is anticipated at $179.2 billion, slightly above market expectations [5][6] Group 4: Market Expectations - Despite a slowdown in profit growth for the "Tech Giants," their profit growth is still expected to be significantly higher than the overall S&P 500 companies, with estimates of 16.6% versus 8.1% [6] - The "Tech Giants" are also key players in the AI sector, which has been a major driver of stock market growth in recent years [7]