“十五五”，风、光、氢、储四大领域将深度融合

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, China's renewable energy industry achieved significant development, exceeding planning targets, and is now entering a new phase of comprehensive market-oriented development during the "15th Five-Year Plan" period, presenting strategic opportunities for "scale expansion" and "quality improvement" [3]. Group 1: Photovoltaics - The photovoltaic industry has transitioned from being a "supplementary energy" to a "main energy" source, with a cumulative installed capacity of 1.11 billion kilowatts by July this year, accounting for 30% of the total installed capacity in the country, surpassing coal power [5]. - China has established the world's most complete and competitive photovoltaic industry system, with over 80% global market share in key manufacturing segments such as silicon materials, wafers, cells, and modules [5]. - The cost of photovoltaic power generation has decreased by over 90% in the past decade, highlighting its economic advantages [5]. - The photovoltaic industry is expected to enter a new stage of higher quality development, with ongoing technological innovations and expanded application scenarios, including "photovoltaics + agriculture" and "photovoltaics + livestock" [6][7]. - By 2030, distributed photovoltaic systems are projected to increase from 40% to over 50% of the total installed capacity [6]. Group 2: Wind Power - The wind power industry has made a historic leap from "resource development" to "system leadership" during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, significantly enhancing its strategic position in energy security and green industrial chain construction [9]. - China maintains the world's largest cumulative installed capacity for wind power, with over half of the global offshore wind power capacity [11]. - The wind power industry aims to achieve an annual new installed capacity of 12 million kilowatts starting in 2026, with a five-year cumulative target of over 60 million kilowatts [12]. - The industry is shifting focus from "scale-driven" to "value-driven," emphasizing quality and efficiency improvements [12][13]. Group 3: New Energy Storage - New energy storage has seen a nearly 30-fold increase in cumulative installed capacity, reaching 94.91 million kilowatts by mid-2025, making it the second-largest flexible adjustment resource in China's power system [17]. - The industry is experiencing a shift from "mandatory storage" to "demand-based configuration," moving from "policy-driven" to "market-led" development [18]. - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration have set a target for new energy storage capacity to exceed 180 million kilowatts by 2027, with an expected direct investment of about 250 billion yuan [17]. Group 4: Hydrogen Energy - Hydrogen energy has transitioned from pilot demonstrations to large-scale development during the "14th Five-Year Plan," with significant policy support and a complete development framework emerging [20]. - The hydrogen energy industry is expected to play a crucial role in energy structure transformation and green development, with a focus on expanding application scenarios across various sectors [21]. - The strategic development of hydrogen energy is supported by multi-layered policy tools and aims to establish a comprehensive hydrogen energy project management system [21]. Group 5: Overall Strategic Outlook - The coordinated development of wind, solar, hydrogen, and storage is seen as a strategic mission to address key challenges in high-proportion consumption, industrial chain security, and economic viability [22]. - The article outlines a vision for a new energy system that leverages technological innovation and market mechanisms to solidify China's leading position in the global energy transition [22].