广东连续7年位列第一生育大省
21世纪经济报道·2025-10-28 06:19

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights Guangdong's population growth as a result of both natural increase and migration, showcasing its unique advantages in maintaining a high birth rate and attracting talent amidst a national trend of declining birth rates and aging population [1][3][4]. Population Growth Dynamics - In 2024, Guangdong's birth population increased by 100,000 to 1.13 million, marking the seventh consecutive year as the top province for births [1][7]. - The province's total population reached 128 million, with a natural increase of 470,000 and a mechanical increase of 270,000 from migration, demonstrating a "dual-driven" growth model [3][7]. - Guangdong's labor force is predominantly young, with 66.38% of the population aged 16-59, which is higher than the national average [7][8]. Cultural and Economic Factors - The strong birth culture in Guangdong, particularly in regions like Chaoshan, contributes to higher birth rates, supported by a robust economic foundation and favorable social environment [8][9]. - The province's diverse culture and strong family values promote a stable reproductive culture, which is essential for maintaining population growth [8][9]. Talent Attraction and Policy Support - Guangdong has implemented various talent attraction policies, such as the "Million Talents Gather in South Guangdong" initiative, which has successfully attracted over 1 million college graduates to the province [9][12]. - The province's industrial base, covering all major categories and featuring nine trillion-yuan industrial clusters, creates a strong demand for high-quality labor, further enhancing its attractiveness to migrants [9][12]. Economic Impact of Population Growth - The interaction between population growth and economic development in Guangdong fosters a positive feedback loop, driving economic vitality and consumer market expansion [4][14]. - In the first half of the year, Guangdong's retail sales reached 2.293 trillion yuan, reflecting a 3.5% year-on-year increase, supported by a growing population [14]. Challenges and Future Directions - Despite the impressive population growth, Guangdong faces challenges in converting its population advantage into quality advantages, such as improving the proportion of high-quality talent and ensuring balanced population distribution [14][15]. - The province aims to strengthen its industrial planning and enhance regional collaboration to optimize resource distribution and stimulate coordinated development across different areas [15][16].