内存价格，失控狂飙

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the impact of the "super cycle" in memory prices, particularly DRAM and NAND Flash, on the Chinese smartphone supply chain, highlighting significant cost pressures and potential delays in product delivery [1]. Group 1: Memory Price Trends - DRAM and NAND Flash prices are continuously rising, affecting the supply chain of Chinese smartphones [1]. - The delivery period for key memory types like LPDDR5X has extended to 26-39 weeks, with potential delays in order fulfillment until mid-2026 [1]. - Major memory suppliers, including Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron, plan to increase prices further in Q4, with potential hikes of up to 30% [5]. Group 2: Impact on Smartphone Manufacturers - Media reports indicate that companies like Xiaomi are directly adjusting product pricing due to soaring memory costs, with the Redmi K90 series seeing price increases of 300 to 600 yuan compared to previous models [2][5]. - Xiaomi's founder, Lei Jun, acknowledged the "outrageous" rise in memory prices, which has forced the company to raise prices beyond its control [3]. - Other domestic brands, such as vivo and OPPO, have also raised prices for their models in response to increased memory costs [5]. Group 3: Financial Performance of MediaTek - MediaTek's financial performance shows a slight decline in gross margin and operating profit margin in Q4 2024, with expectations of profit pressure from rising memory and wafer foundry costs starting in Q4 2025 [2]. - The gross margin for MediaTek is projected to be 48.54% in Q4 2024, down from 48.82% in Q3 2024 [2].