美国联邦政府停摆经济代价多少?CBO:恐致美国经济损失140亿美元
第一财经·2025-10-30 07:39

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. federal government shutdown has entered its fourth week, causing significant economic losses estimated at $7 billion per month, which cannot be recovered once the government reopens [3][4]. Economic Impact - The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) predicts that if the shutdown lasts for 4 weeks, the U.S. GDP will decrease by $7 billion; if it lasts for 6 weeks, the loss will be $11 billion; and if it extends to 8 weeks, the total loss could reach $14 billion [4]. Political Dynamics - There is a growing pessimism among senators regarding the possibility of reaching a bipartisan agreement to reopen the federal government, as highlighted by North Carolina Republican Senator Thom Tillis [5]. - Senate Democratic leaders insist that negotiations on healthcare subsidies must occur before they agree to reopen the government [5]. SNAP Benefits and Legal Actions - A coalition of 25 states and the District of Columbia has filed a lawsuit against the Trump administration for halting the distribution of food stamps (SNAP) during the shutdown, arguing that this decision is illegal and jeopardizes food security for millions [6][7]. - The SNAP emergency fund, estimated to be between $5 billion and $6 billion, is insufficient to cover the anticipated $8 billion in benefits for November, but it could provide partial support [7].