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三季度黄金投资激增47%!中国投资者购入74吨金条金币
券商中国·2025-11-01 07:55

Core Viewpoint - Recent significant pullback in gold prices has led to a reassessment of gold's investment value in the market [1] Investment Demand Supports Gold Demand Growth - In Q3, global gold demand reached 1313 tons, with a total value of $146 billion, marking the highest quarterly demand on record [3] - Investment demand surged to 537 tons, a 47% year-on-year increase, accounting for 55% of total net demand in Q3 [3] - Key drivers for this growth include geopolitical uncertainties, a weakening dollar, and investor fear of missing out (FOMO) [3] - Gold ETFs were the main growth driver, with investors adding 222 tons and $26 billion in inflows over three consecutive quarters [3] Regional Analysis of Gold Demand - North America saw the highest inflows into gold ETFs, while China experienced a net outflow of 3.8 billion RMB (approximately $540 million) in Q3 [4] - Despite the overall decline in China's gold demand, the demand for gold bars and coins increased by 19% to 74 tons in Q3 [6] Chinese Market Insights - In Q3, China's retail gold investment and consumption reached 152 tons, a 7% year-on-year decline but a 29% increase in value to 120.4 billion RMB, the highest for Q3 [5] - The overall decline in demand was primarily due to reduced demand for gold jewelry and ETF inflows, while investment demand remained strong [6] Strategic Value of Gold Investment - The World Gold Council maintains that the strategic value of gold remains solid, with expectations for further price increases due to a weak dollar and anticipated interest rate cuts [7] - Analysts suggest that while short-term price fluctuations may occur, the long-term outlook for gold remains positive, with projections indicating a price center of $4,814 per ounce by 2026 [8]