Robot猎场备忘录·2025-11-02 02:07Core Viewpoint - The secondary market for humanoid robots is more active than the primary market, with T-chains being the main focus. The market experienced a downturn in October, contrasting with the bullish trend in September driven by positive events related to Tesla and Optimus [2][4]. Market Overview - The overall market performance in October was characterized by a significant decline, particularly from October 10 to 14, due to various uncertainties impacting the market. However, after October 24, the market saw a rebound, with the index breaking the 4,000-point mark, reaching a 10-year high [6][7]. T-Chain Performance - The T-chain, particularly Sanhua Intelligent Control, demonstrated resilience during market fluctuations. Despite the overall market decline, Sanhua's stock price reached a historical high, driven by speculative trading and perceived positive news [7][10]. Key Events and Impacts - A notable "false positive" event occurred on October 15, when it was rumored that Tesla had placed an order worth $685 million (approximately 5 billion) with Sanhua for Optimus linear actuators. This news led to a rapid increase in Sanhua's stock price, despite later being denied by the company [8][10]. - Following the denial of the false news, Sanhua's stock continued to perform well, maintaining a strong position in the market and showing limited decline during broader market downturns [10][11]. Future Outlook - The anticipated release of the Optimus Gen3 prototype is now expected in Q1 2026, with ongoing construction of the production line. This delay has raised concerns about the timeline and expectations for the product [12]. - Despite the delay, the overall sentiment in the supply chain remains positive, with various companies in the T-chain receiving favorable news and updates, indicating a potential for future growth [14][15].