财联社·2025-11-03 14:15Core Viewpoint - The price of lithium hexafluorophosphate has surged significantly due to a combination of rising raw material costs, capacity contraction, and strong demand, with short-term sustainability expected but long-term uncertainties looming [1][4][9]. Price Trends - As of November 3, the average price of lithium hexafluorophosphate reached 113,500 yuan/ton, with a peak of 117,000 yuan/ton, nearly doubling from 63,300 yuan/ton at the beginning of October [2][3]. - The price had previously dropped to a low of 47,000 yuan/ton in July, indicating a rapid recovery since mid-September [2]. Demand and Supply Dynamics - The demand for lithium hexafluorophosphate is robust, driven by the booming electric vehicle and energy storage sectors, with significant increases in sales and battery installations [5][6]. - The domestic production capacity for lithium hexafluorophosphate is reported at 442,900 tons/year, with effective capacity at 389,400 tons/year, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 13.7% [5][6]. Company Performance - Companies like Dongfang Shenghua and Xinzhou Bang have reported full order books and increasing sales, with Multi-Fluorine's performance improving significantly, showing over a fourfold increase in year-on-year earnings for the first three quarters of 2025 [3][4]. - Multi-Fluorine plans to increase its production capacity to 65,000 tons, with an additional 20,000 tons under construction, aiming for a shipment target of around 50,000 tons this year [3]. Market Factors - The price surge is attributed to supply-demand imbalances and fluctuations in raw material prices, with the industry entering a tight balance phase as inventory levels decrease [4][6]. - The price of upstream raw materials, such as lithium carbonate, has been steadily rising, providing cost support for lithium hexafluorophosphate [7]. Short-term and Long-term Outlook - Short-term price support is expected to continue at least until the second quarter of next year, with current profitability for the industry estimated at 30,000 to 40,000 yuan per ton [8]. - However, long-term sustainability of price increases faces challenges, including the potential for new production capacity to disrupt supply-demand dynamics and the rising adoption of alternative materials like lithium bis(fluorosulfonyl)imide [9].