DT新材料·2025-11-03 14:17Core Viewpoint - The carbon fiber industry is experiencing accelerated investment, particularly with Shanghai Petrochemical's establishment of the Inner Mongolia Xinjingshan Carbon Fiber Co., which is becoming a key node in its strategic layout [4][5]. Investment and Expansion - Since 2025, the investment pace in the carbon fiber sector has significantly increased, with Shanghai Petrochemical raising the registered capital of Inner Mongolia Xinjingshan from 330 million RMB to 600 million RMB, reflecting a 2900% increase within six months [4]. - The total investment for the carbon fiber project is approximately 3.196 billion RMB, with a planned annual production capacity of 30,000 tons of large tow carbon fiber and 60,000 tons of precursor [4][5]. Strategic Transition - Shanghai Petrochemical is transitioning from small tow products to large tow production, marking a strategic shift towards large-scale manufacturing [5]. - The core advantages of large tow production include improved production efficiency and cost control, which will provide a competitive material basis for downstream applications such as wind power and civil engineering [5]. Market Dynamics - The domestic carbon fiber industry is shifting focus from small tow to large tow, driven by the rapid growth in demand for carbon fiber in wind turbine blades [5][6]. - The project launch in 2025 coincides with a critical market transition, as domestic replacements in sectors like wind power and rail transit are gaining traction [6]. Industry Challenges - Despite the industry's upward trend, market price volatility remains significant, with T700 grade 12K small tow prices dropping over 25% year-on-year in the first half of 2025 [6]. - Rapid expansion in large tow production may lead to potential supply-demand mismatches if construction progresses too quickly [6]. Strategic Intent - As a state-owned enterprise, Shanghai Petrochemical's strategic goal is not short-term profit but to master core technologies in the industry and reduce import dependence through large-scale engineering [6].