突发！美联储重磅发声！

Group 1: Federal Reserve Policy Signals - Federal Reserve officials are signaling potential interest rate cuts, with Stephen Miran advocating for a 50 basis point reduction if economic data aligns with expectations [4][5] - Lisa Cook supports recent rate cuts and is open to further reductions, but has not made a decision regarding December's meeting [6][8] - The probability of a 25 basis point cut in December is currently at 67.3%, while maintaining the current rate stands at 32.7% [4] Group 2: Economic Indicators - The ISM Manufacturing PMI for October is reported at 48.7, indicating continued contraction in factory activity for the eighth consecutive month [11][12] - The report highlights that 12 manufacturing sectors are experiencing contraction, particularly in textiles, apparel, and furniture [12] - The prices paid index has dropped to 58, the lowest level this year, suggesting easing inflationary pressures [12][13] Group 3: Stock Market Movements - The U.S. stock market showed mixed results, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq closing slightly up, while the Dow Jones fell [15][16] - Amazon's stock surged nearly 6% after announcing a $38 billion deal with OpenAI, marking a significant milestone in the cloud computing sector [15] - Despite the S&P 500 closing in the green, over 400 stocks declined during the trading session, indicating underlying market weakness [16][17]