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天天基金网·2025-11-05 08:16

Core Viewpoint - The electric equipment sector has experienced a significant surge, driven by a UBS report predicting a 10-year super cycle in China's electricity demand, with annual growth rates expected to double from previous estimates [3][8]. Group 1: Market Performance - The electric equipment sector saw a notable increase, with nearly 30 stocks hitting the daily limit or rising over 10% [4]. - Key performers included Can Energy, which reached a 30% limit up, and other companies like Yinen Electric and Zhongzhi Technology, which saw gains exceeding 20% [4][5]. Group 2: Demand Forecast - UBS forecasts that from 2028 to 2030, China's electricity demand will grow at an annual rate of 8%, marking the beginning of a sustained super cycle in the domestic electricity industry [3][8]. - The report highlights that the demand surge is driven by structural changes in consumption, including the rise of new energy vehicles and data centers, which are expected to see an average annual growth rate of over 15% in electricity consumption over the next five years [8][9]. Group 3: Supply Dynamics - The supply side is undergoing significant restructuring under the dual carbon goals, with predictions that the share of renewable energy in domestic power generation will rise from 31% to over 50% in the next five years [10]. - Traditional coal power is transitioning to become a stabilizer in the power system, with integrated projects combining coal power and energy storage becoming mainstream [10]. Group 4: Policy Support - The strong policy attributes of the electricity sector provide a solid foundation for the super cycle, with national plans and funding mechanisms supporting renewable energy and grid upgrades [11]. - The State Grid plans to invest over 1.2 trillion yuan in the next three years to build ultra-high voltage and smart grid infrastructure to address the mismatch between supply and demand [11].