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金价高企影响追踪:产业链苦乐不均,下游从业者称加班变少了
证券时报·2025-11-05 12:27

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge and volatility in gold prices have sparked a new wave of investment interest in gold, significantly impacting companies across the gold industry chain [1][2]. Impact on Industry Chain - The high gold prices have had varying effects on companies within the gold industry chain. Upstream gold mining companies have benefited from increased revenues and profits, as evidenced by the third-quarter reports of listed gold mining companies, which showed substantial year-on-year growth in both revenue and net profit [5][4]. - Conversely, downstream gold jewelry companies have faced challenges, with many reporting declines in performance during the same period. For instance, companies like Zhou Dashing, Mingpai Jewelry, and Laofengxiang experienced revenue declines, with Mingpai Jewelry's net profit plummeting by over 1500% [5][6]. Performance Data - Specific performance metrics for jewelry companies include: - Zhou Dashing: Revenue down 37.35%, net profit up 3.13% - Mingpai Jewelry: Revenue down 25.37%, net profit down 1502.07% - Laofengxiang: Revenue down 8.71%, net profit down 19.05% - China Gold: Revenue down 1.74%, net profit down 55.08% [6]. Market Demand Trends - Despite the challenges, the overall demand for gold jewelry in China showed a quarter-on-quarter increase of 21% in the third quarter of 2025, although it still represented an 18% year-on-year decline. The total gold jewelry consumption for the first three quarters of 2025 was 278 tons, down 25% year-on-year [7]. Company Strategies - Companies are actively seeking strategies to mitigate the impact of high gold prices. For example, Zhou Dashing has reported a stable inventory level and is closely monitoring gold price fluctuations to adjust pricing accordingly. They are also focusing on product innovation and market expansion to meet diverse consumer needs [10][11]. - Zhou Dafu Jewelry Group has highlighted a positive trend in sales, particularly in their priced gold products, which saw a 43.7% year-on-year increase in retail value during the second quarter of the 2026 fiscal year [8]. Historical Context and Future Outlook - Historically, gold has been a safe-haven asset, with its price increasing significantly over the past decade. However, it is also subject to volatility and has experienced substantial corrections in the past [13][14]. - Looking ahead, analysts suggest that while short-term fluctuations may occur, the long-term outlook for gold remains positive due to ongoing global economic uncertainties and the trend of central banks accumulating gold [13].