小米，突发！

Core Viewpoint - Hedge funds have turned bearish on Xiaomi stock, with significant short positions expected to persist until the earnings report, citing a lack of catalysts and safety concerns as primary reasons for the negative sentiment [1][4]. Group 1: Stock Performance and Market Sentiment - Xiaomi's stock has declined nearly 30% since reaching a historical high in June [1][2]. - Goldman Sachs reported a 53% increase in short positions on Xiaomi stock over the past week, indicating a strong bearish sentiment among institutional investors [4]. - The consensus among hedge funds is that Xiaomi is a common target for short selling in the short term due to various concerns, including delayed factory construction and challenges in the electric vehicle sector [4]. Group 2: Financial Projections and Analyst Ratings - CITIC Securities projects that Xiaomi will achieve total revenue of 113.2 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 22.3%, with a Non-IFRS net profit of 10.2 billion yuan, up 63% [1]. - Despite current pressures, CITIC Securities maintains a positive long-term outlook for Xiaomi, expecting it to remain a leading technology ecosystem company globally [4]. - Ping An International also reiterated a "buy" rating for Xiaomi, anticipating that the automotive business may achieve profitability for the first time in a single quarter [4]. Group 3: Product Performance and Market Position - According to Canalys, Xiaomi's smartphone shipments reached 43.4 million units in Q3 2025, a 1% year-on-year increase, maintaining a 14% market share globally [5]. - In the Chinese market, Xiaomi's smartphone shipments were 10 million units, a decline of approximately 2%, resulting in a 15% market share, ranking fourth [5]. - Xiaomi's high-end smartphone series, launched in September 2025, achieved record sales shortly after release, indicating a positive trend in product structure optimization [5]. Group 4: Automotive and IoT Business Developments - Xiaomi has delivered 400,000 vehicles since launching its automotive division, with monthly deliveries exceeding 40,000 units in September and October 2025 [6]. - The company introduced a tax subsidy scheme to enhance consumer benefits, aiming for a break-even point in its automotive business [6]. - Despite a slowdown in national subsidies, Xiaomi's IoT business remains competitive, supported by product quality and supply chain management [7].