美国政府停摆刷新历史纪录，每周损失超百亿美元

Core Viewpoint - The ongoing U.S. government shutdown, now in its 37th day, is projected to cause significant economic damage, with estimates of weekly losses ranging from $10 billion to $30 billion, potentially impacting the fourth-quarter economic growth rate by up to 2 percentage points [3][5][6]. Economic Impact - Historically, government shutdowns have had temporary effects, with furloughed employees receiving back pay. However, this shutdown is expected to have more severe consequences due to its prolonged duration and the current economic fragility, with many Americans concerned about inflation and job prospects [5][6]. - The shutdown is affecting millions, particularly as many will lose access to food assistance during the holiday season. This contrasts with previous shutdowns, where the impact was more localized to federal employees [5][6]. - The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) has announced a 10% reduction in flight volumes at 40 major airports due to air traffic controller shortages caused by the shutdown [6]. Broader Economic Consequences - The shutdown's repercussions extend beyond federal employees, with significant wage losses reported across the U.S. For instance, the unemployment rate could rise from 4.3% to 4.7% due to furloughed federal workers being counted in unemployment statistics [8]. - An estimated $24 billion in federal goods and services spending has been paused, affecting contractors and suppliers reliant on these funds [8][9]. - Small businesses are also facing challenges, with approximately 4,800 businesses having $2.5 billion in loans frozen due to the shutdown, impacting their daily operations and expansion plans [9][10]. Consumer Confidence and Future Outlook - The shutdown is expected to further erode consumer confidence, particularly if it extends into the critical holiday shopping season. Previous shutdowns have shown a tendency to negatively impact consumer sentiment, and current economic indicators may not mitigate this effect [10].