鑫椤锂电一周观察 | 枧下窝矿复产提前？碳酸锂价格波动加剧

Industry Highlights - Chile's lithium carbonate exports rebounded in October 2025, reaching 25,000 tons, a month-on-month increase of 56%. Exports to China were 16,200 tons, to Japan 1,097 tons, and to South Korea 6,616 tons. For January to October 2025, total lithium carbonate exports were 189,400 tons, a year-on-year decrease of 5.3%, with exports to China down 15% to 137,100 tons [1] - Chile's lithium sulfate exports in October 2025 were 1,708 tons, all to China, reflecting an 80% month-on-month decrease. However, total lithium sulfate exports from January to October 2025 reached 72,000 tons, a year-on-year increase of 81% [1] Company Developments - OneD Material Inc. and Shanghai Putailai New Energy Technology Co., Ltd. signed a Joint Development Agreement to collaboratively design and scale production of next-generation silicon-graphite composite anode materials for lithium-ion batteries [2] - Greeenme announced a plan to transfer 100% equity of Jiangxi Green Recycling Materials Co., Ltd. to Henan Recycling Technology Industry Group for 280 million yuan, aiming to optimize its recycling assets and develop key metal resource recovery business, with an expected investment return of approximately 10 million yuan [3] Market Trends - In September, China's e-cigarette exports were approximately $879 million, a month-on-month decrease of 6.13%, but a year-on-year increase of 2.85%. The top ten export destinations included the USA, UK, Germany, and South Korea [4] - Domestic lithium carbonate prices fluctuated this week, dropping from 82,000 yuan to 78,000 yuan, but rebounded after clarification of rumors regarding the early resumption of production at a key mine. October's lithium carbonate production increased by 5% month-on-month, with strong demand expected to continue into November and December [6] - The latest prices for battery-grade lithium carbonate are between 77,000 to 79,000 yuan per ton, while industrial-grade is between 75,500 to 76,500 yuan per ton [7] Material Prices - Cobalt prices remained stable, while cobalt salt prices remained firm. Despite a slight decrease in lithium carbonate prices, the ternary material market prices have not changed significantly [8] - The latest prices for ternary materials are as follows: single crystal 5 series at 154,000 to 158,000 yuan per ton, and 8 series 811 type at 162,000 to 167,000 yuan per ton. The phosphoric iron lithium market is experiencing strong production and sales, with slight price declines due to falling lithium carbonate prices [9][10] Battery Market - The domestic lithium battery market remains robust, with a 3% month-on-month increase in production for November. Some battery manufacturers are operating at 10% above capacity, with low willingness to reduce production in December despite expectations for next year [16] - The latest prices for square ternary power cells range from 0.4 to 0.46 yuan/Wh, while square lithium iron phosphate power cells range from 0.26 to 0.355 yuan/Wh [16] Energy Storage Developments - The energy storage cell market continues to thrive, with stable prices. Samsung SDI plans to convert part of its Indiana factory's production lines to energy storage batteries and is in advanced negotiations with Tesla for a 30GWh energy storage battery agreement [17] - Saudi Arabia aims to deploy 48GWh of battery storage facilities by 2030, with contracts signed for additional 12.5GWh of battery storage facilities expected to be delivered by late 2025 to early 2026 [18]