中国基金报·2025-11-08 01:27Market Overview - The U.S. stock market indices experienced significant declines this week, marking the worst week since early April, with the Nasdaq down 3.04%, the Dow Jones down 1.21%, and the S&P 500 down 1.63% [4] - The technology sector's pullback heavily impacted the Nasdaq, with the Wande American Technology Seven Giants Index falling 0.56% and Tesla dropping 3.71% [5][6] Government Shutdown Impact - The U.S. government shutdown has entered its 39th day, causing a vacuum of official data releases and escalating tensions between Democrats and Republicans, which has further impacted market sentiment [15][19] - The ongoing shutdown is projected to result in significant economic losses, with estimates suggesting a loss of $11 billion after six weeks and $14 billion after eight weeks [18] Federal Reserve Interest Rate Debate - Internal debates within the Federal Reserve regarding a potential interest rate cut in December have intensified, with a 66.5% probability of a 25 basis point cut and a 33.5% chance of maintaining current rates [22] - Fed officials express differing views on the necessity of a rate cut, with some advocating for a more aggressive approach to address economic pressures [21][22] Gold and Commodity Markets - Gold prices have shown volatility, currently trading around $4000 per ounce, with a slight weekly decline of 0.06% [11] - The oil market has also experienced fluctuations, with West Texas Intermediate crude oil closing at $59.84 per barrel, down 1.87% for the week, despite OPEC+ efforts to curb production [13]