CPI同比由降转涨，什么信号？解读来了

Core Insights - The article highlights a comprehensive improvement in price data, indicating a steady recovery in domestic consumption demand, particularly in service consumption, with expectations for a moderate increase in CPI in the coming quarter [1][2][3]. CPI Analysis - In October, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.2% month-on-month and year-on-year, with the core CPI (excluding food and energy) increasing by 1.2%, marking the highest growth since March 2024 [1][2]. - Food prices decreased by 2.9%, while energy prices fell by 2.4%, but the decline in both categories narrowed compared to the previous month [2]. - Service prices increased by 0.2%, with significant rises in hotel accommodation (8.6%), airfare (4.5%), and tourism (2.5%), all exceeding seasonal levels [3]. PPI Analysis - The Producer Price Index (PPI) saw a month-on-month increase of 0.1%, the first rise of the year, while the year-on-year decline narrowed to 2.1%, a reduction of 0.2 percentage points from the previous month [4][5]. - Improved supply-demand dynamics led to price increases in several sectors, including coal mining (1.6%) and photovoltaic equipment manufacturing (0.6%) [5]. - The ongoing capacity management and safety regulations in key industries are contributing to a narrowing of the year-on-year price decline, with notable improvements in sectors like coal mining and photovoltaic equipment [5][6].