21世纪经济报道·2025-11-10 02:29Group 1: Market Movements - Gold and silver prices experienced a sharp increase on November 10, with spot gold surpassing $4050, reaching $4042.71 per ounce, up 1.05% [1] - Spot silver rose by 1.2%, reaching $48.907 per ounce [1] - COMEX gold was reported at $4055.7 per ounce, reflecting a 1.14% increase [1] Group 2: A-Share Market Performance - The A-share gold and jewelry index opened high, increasing over 1.6% by around 10:00 AM, with several constituent stocks seeing significant gains [3] - Notable stock performances included: - Cuihua Jewelry up over 6% - Hunan Gold up over 5% - Chifeng Gold up nearly 3% [3][5] Group 3: Central Bank Gold Reserves - Deutsche Bank's research indicates that by October 2025, gold's share in global central bank "foreign exchange + gold" reserves is expected to rise from 24% in June to 30% [5] - In contrast, the share of the US dollar is projected to decline from 43% to 40% [5] Group 4: Future Gold Price Predictions - Deutsche Bank suggests that if gold prices reach $5790 per ounce, the reserve shares of gold and the dollar would equalize, requiring a nearly 45% increase from current levels [6] - The potential for achieving this price is influenced by factors such as accelerated de-dollarization, weakening dollar credit, and rising geopolitical risks [6] Group 5: Market Sentiment and Risks - Analysts express caution regarding the feasibility of reaching the predicted gold price, citing multiple variables that could impact the outcome [7] - Concerns include the possibility of the Federal Reserve returning to a rate hike cycle, which could restore dollar credit and diminish the likelihood of achieving the target price [7]