产业链精炼：存储持续大涨，另一个超级周期就是它！

Core Viewpoint - The lithium battery energy storage sector is experiencing a significant surge, driven by policy support, market demand, and price increases, indicating the onset of a new super cycle in the industry [2][7][32] Policy Support - Recent policies from the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration aim to meet the average annual demand for 200GW of renewable energy consumption by 2030, enhancing the profitability of energy storage projects [5] - Energy storage projects can now earn stable income by providing peak shaving services to the grid, increasing internal rates of return (IRR) from 5%-6% to 8%-10%, with some regions even reaching 12% [5][6] - The cancellation of mandatory energy storage requirements has led to a 212% year-on-year increase in domestic energy storage bidding volume [6][7] Demand Explosion - The domestic market saw a 100% year-on-year increase in energy storage projects, with 1,125GWh registered in the first three quarters of 2025 [10] - Overseas, Chinese energy storage companies received 163GWh of orders in the first half of 2025, a 246% increase year-on-year, driven by demand from AI data centers and carbon neutrality goals in Europe [10][11] - The combination of domestic, overseas, and data center demand is expected to drive significant growth in energy storage [12] Price Increases in Materials - The price of lithium hexafluorophosphate (6F) has increased by 50% from its bottom, driven by rising demand and low inventory levels [19][20] - Prices for additives like VC and FEC have surged by 50% since September, reflecting a supply-demand imbalance [21][22] - The prices of cathodes and anodes are also rising due to structural shortages, with lithium iron phosphate prices increasing from 70,000-80,000 yuan/ton to 100,000-110,000 yuan/ton [23] Key Companies and Investment Opportunities - The energy storage super cycle presents opportunities across the entire industry chain, from system integration to battery cells and upstream materials [26][32] - Key players in the energy storage system segment include Sungrow Power Supply, which holds a 35% global market share, and Hecate Energy, with a 20% market share in China [27] - Leading battery cell manufacturers like CATL and EVE Energy are expected to benefit from the surge in demand, with CATL maintaining a strong position in both energy storage and power batteries [29] - Material companies such as Tianji, Dofluor, and Huasheng Lithium are positioned to gain from price increases due to supply constraints [30]