31省份人口抚养比数据公布

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the dependency ratio in China, highlighting the challenges and opportunities presented by the demographic structure across different provinces in 2024, with a focus on the implications for urbanization and economic growth [3][5]. Summary by Sections Dependency Ratio Overview - The dependency ratio, or support ratio, measures the ratio of non-working-age population to working-age population (ages 15-64). In 2024, 15 provinces had a total dependency ratio above the national average, with five provinces exceeding 50%: Guizhou, Guangxi, Shandong, Henan, and Hebei [3][5]. Provincial Analysis - The article provides a detailed breakdown of the dependency ratios across various provinces, indicating that high dependency ratios are often linked to population outflows, particularly of the working-age population, and high proportions of children or elderly individuals [5][6]. - For instance, Guizhou and Guangxi have child dependency ratios exceeding 30%, indicating potential future demographic advantages due to a larger base of young people [5]. Urbanization Potential - Provinces with high child populations and low urbanization rates, such as those in the western regions, show significant potential for urbanization. In contrast, provinces like Guangdong and Fujian, despite high urbanization rates, also maintain a substantial proportion of children in their populations [5][6]. Birth Rates and Population Trends - Guangdong has the highest urban population, with a rate of 75.91% and a birth rate of 8.89‰, leading the nation in births for seven consecutive years, with 1.13 million births in 2024 [5][6]. - The influx of young, working-age individuals into Guangdong contributes to its high labor force participation, with 72.28% of its population in the working-age group [6]. Regional Disparities - The article notes that while some provinces have high ratios of elderly dependents, such as those in Northeast China, they also have a relatively low birth rate, leading to a lower overall dependency ratio [6].