避险策略强化，基金经理如何看消费？低配股或迎仓位平衡

Core Viewpoint - Fund managers are increasingly optimistic about consumer stocks as cash flow metrics gain importance in the year-end market, leading to a cautious strategy shift towards consumption [1][2]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - In the context of recent adjustments in the technology sector, funds that have underweighted consumer stocks are attracting attention, with consumer sectors outperforming previously strong sectors during weak market conditions [2][3]. - On November 10, consumer stocks rebounded significantly, contributing to a surge in the Hang Seng Index, with notable gains in stocks that had been heavily reduced in fund holdings [3][4]. Group 2: Fund Positioning - Low allocation has become a primary consideration for funds switching positions, with leading consumer stocks like China Duty Free and others showing resilience against market corrections [4][5]. - Despite the recent strength in consumer stocks, no consumer-themed funds have appeared in the performance rankings of the top 50 funds, indicating a disconnect between performance and fund allocation [4][5]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - Some fund managers believe the recent performance of consumer stocks is driven by tactical shifts and year-end risk aversion strategies seeking cash flow protection [5][6]. - The current market sentiment suggests that consumer stocks may not become a primary focus for fund managers, but a return to balanced allocations is seen as sufficient [6][7]. Group 4: Long-term Outlook - The long-term potential of China's domestic consumption market remains strong, with current low valuation levels providing a safety margin for investments [8]. - Fund managers emphasize the importance of cash flow and business models in selecting consumer stocks, with a focus on companies that can sustain growth and provide shareholder value through dividends or buybacks [7][8].