Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the importance of U.S.-China agricultural cooperation, particularly in soybean trade, highlighting the challenges faced by U.S. farmers due to tariffs and market dynamics [2][5][6]. Group 1: U.S.-China Agricultural Cooperation - The U.S. Soybean Export Council CEO emphasizes the natural synergy between the U.S. and China in agricultural trade, particularly in soybeans, due to China's large market and rapid development [2][5]. - Historical cooperation in agriculture between the U.S. and China dates back 43 years, with ongoing projects aimed at enhancing agricultural modernization and technology transfer [5][6]. - The establishment of the U.S.-China Soybean Product Application Value Chain Innovation Center in Zhengzhou is seen as a platform for deepening cooperation [5]. Group 2: Trade Dynamics and Economic Impact - In 2024, soybean exports from the U.S. are projected to reach $24.58 billion, accounting for 14% of total agricultural exports, with China purchasing over $12.64 billion worth of soybeans [5]. - The U.S. soybean market has faced significant challenges, with a 58% drop in imports from the U.S. to China in the first half of 2025 compared to the previous year [5]. - The U.S. agricultural sector is experiencing increased bankruptcy rates, with a 57% rise in farm bankruptcies in the first half of the year, attributed to the impacts of tariff policies [5][6]. Group 3: Market Challenges and Future Outlook - U.S. farmers are facing rising production costs, with soybean planting costs increasing nearly 50% since 2019, and current selling prices leading to significant losses [10]. - The article notes that U.S. farmers are concerned about climate change, which is affecting crop yields and weather patterns, further complicating their situation [10]. - The future market share of U.S. soybeans in China is expected to stabilize between 30% to 40%, down from over 50% during peak periods, indicating a cautious outlook for recovery [10][11].
美国大豆出口协会CEO:希望当中国需要大豆时,第一个电话能打给美国
第一财经·2025-11-12 09:57