Core Viewpoint - The outlook for the non-ferrous metals sector in 2026 is optimistic, with a consensus among various investment institutions that the price center for these metals is expected to rise further due to emerging demands from AI, electricity, new energy, and high-end equipment manufacturing [1][2]. Price Trends - The trading volume of non-ferrous copper futures in October reached 5.85 million lots, a year-on-year increase of 86.3% and a month-on-month increase of 39.8%. The transaction value was 2.5 trillion yuan, up 108.93% year-on-year and 49.15% month-on-month [2]. - Analysts predict that copper prices will range between $10,000 and $12,000 per ton in 2026, driven by liquidity easing and tightening supply [3]. Industry Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector has outperformed other sectors in the A-share market, with the non-ferrous metals ETF fund rising by 77.19% year-to-date as of November 12, and nearly 90% of the 141 listed companies in this sector reported profits [3]. - The overall performance of the non-ferrous metals industry is accelerating, with 23 companies reporting a net profit growth exceeding 100% [3]. Investment Trends - The current investment heat in the resource sector is expected to continue, with new energy, new materials, AI, and aerospace being the main drivers of demand growth, contrasting with traditional infrastructure and real estate [4]. - The construction of AI data centers is projected to require between $5 trillion and $7 trillion in funding over the next five years, significantly impacting capital markets [4]. Supply Dynamics - The supply constraints in the non-ferrous metals sector are exacerbated by insufficient capital expenditure and increasing resource nationalism, leading to a long-term supply bottleneck [4]. - The aluminum market is also showing strength, with expectations for price increases supported by rigid supply and high profit margins [5].
“最强板块”牛市不停？ 机构：继续看好明年表现！
券商中国·2025-11-12 15:03