8.5%！央行最新披露

Core Viewpoint - The latest financial statistics from the central bank indicate a reasonable growth in key financial data such as M2 and social financing scale, creating a favorable monetary environment for economic recovery [2][4]. Social Financing Scale - As of the end of October, the social financing scale stood at 437.72 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 8.5%. The cumulative increase in the first ten months was 30.9 trillion yuan, which is 3.83 trillion yuan more than the same period last year [4]. - The growth in social financing is significantly supported by the rapid issuance of government bonds and high corporate bond issuance. In the first ten months, net financing from corporate bonds reached 1.82 trillion yuan, and government bonds net financing was 11.95 trillion yuan, both showing year-on-year increases [5]. Loan Structure and Trends - The balance of RMB loans was 270.61 trillion yuan at the end of October, with a year-on-year growth of 6.5%. The increase in loans for the first ten months was 14.97 trillion yuan [7]. - The loan structure is evolving, with a notable increase in inclusive small and micro loans, which reached 35.77 trillion yuan, growing by 11.6% year-on-year. This reflects a shift in credit allocation towards new economic drivers such as technology innovation and green development [8][9]. Monetary Policy and Economic Outlook - The current monetary policy remains moderately loose, contributing to a favorable economic environment. The weighted average interest rate for newly issued corporate loans was 3.1%, which is approximately 40 basis points lower than the same period last year [6][8]. - International economic organizations have raised their growth forecasts for China's economy, indicating a positive outlook for economic recovery and growth, with expectations of achieving around 5% growth for the year [11].