本轮AI投资热“浇不灭”！蔡昉、王一鸣、孙学工最新发声

Core Viewpoint - The current AI investment boom is seen as both a revolutionary opportunity and a potential bubble, but it is unlikely to diminish due to its critical role in addressing major challenges like climate change and aging populations, as well as its importance in national competitiveness [2]. Group 1: AI Investment Insights - The AI investment wave is characterized by a strong expectation for future productivity, leading companies to avoid the risk of falling behind [2]. - AI is described as "creative destruction," necessitating a balance between its creative and destructive aspects through institutional frameworks [2]. - There is a call for the establishment of an inclusive social security system powered by AI to create new jobs and improve employment quality, thereby reducing income inequality [2]. Group 2: Financial Support for Innovation - The current financial support system for technology innovation should transition from debt-based to equity-based, enhancing the role of capital markets in supporting innovation [3][4]. - There is a need to expand financial services for high-tech enterprises and specialized small and medium-sized enterprises, optimizing the linkage between loans and equity investments [3]. - Encouragement of venture capital development and maintaining a stable environment for IPOs and refinancing are essential for fostering innovation [4][5]. Group 3: Macroeconomic Trends and Policy Recommendations - China's GDP growth for the first three quarters of the year was 5.2%, with expectations for a slight decrease in the fourth quarter due to high base effects, but an overall target of around 5% growth for the year remains achievable [6][7]. - Recommendations include increasing the budget deficit rate to 4.5% and enhancing government spending to support economic stability and growth [7]. - A call for more proactive fiscal and monetary policies to ensure a supportive macroeconomic environment as the country enters the new five-year plan period [7].