涨价成掘金信号！公募选股看好“确定性+弹性”

Group 1 - The price increase logic has become a key strategy for fund managers to outperform the market and identify potential stocks, especially during year-end risk aversion periods [1][2] - Fund managers view price hikes as a strong indicator of corporate expansion and competitive strength, leading to significant returns, as seen with Kweichow Moutai and other stocks like Bilibili and Tencent Music [2][3] - The price increase of Kweichow Moutai from 499 RMB to approximately 1169 RMB from January 2011 to November 2023 has provided substantial returns for funds heavily invested in it [2] Group 2 - The decline in prices within certain industries, such as the milk tea sector, signals potential risks and has led to significant losses for funds that invested heavily in stocks like Nayuki's Tea [3] - The strategy of observing price trends (both increases and decreases) is effective for assessing the profitability of companies across various industries [3][4] - Recent data shows that funds focused on resource themes and new energy have seen strong performance, with some funds achieving returns of over 31% in the past month [4][6] Group 3 - The recent surge in prices for chemical products, such as the 68% increase in the price of ethylene carbonate, reflects the strong correlation between price hikes and investor interest [5][6] - The influx of capital into chemical ETFs indicates a high sensitivity among investors to price increase logic, despite some ETFs experiencing net value losses earlier in the year [6] - Fund managers are optimistic about sectors like non-ferrous metals, anticipating upward price movements due to supply constraints and competitive advantages [7] Group 4 - The focus on price increase logic has led some fund managers to adopt a cautious approach towards industries facing price competition, such as the AI sector, where price cuts have been announced [8]