第一财经·2025-11-18 15:06Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing fluctuations primarily due to emotional factors rather than a weakening of the fundamentals, supported by healthy Q3 earnings reports [3][12]. Group 1: Market Performance - The A-share market has shown a volatile trend around the 4000-point mark, with major indices experiencing declines on consecutive trading days [5]. - On November 18, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3939.81 points, down 0.81%, with total trading volume reaching 1.93 trillion yuan, an increase of 153 billion yuan from the previous day [5]. Group 2: Foreign Investment Interest - Despite market fluctuations, foreign interest in A-share companies remains strong, with over 100 companies receiving foreign institutional research this month [4][5]. - AI-related companies are particularly favored by foreign investors, with Optoelectronics (688686.SH) receiving 92 institutional visits, over half of which were from foreign entities [6][8]. Group 3: Institutional Insights - UBS and Goldman Sachs have released optimistic investment outlooks for 2026, highlighting opportunities in sectors such as overseas expansion and AI [3][13]. - UBS anticipates that the Chinese stock market will benefit from several favorable factors, including the development of innovative sectors, supportive policies for private enterprises, and ample liquidity under a loose monetary policy [13]. Group 4: Sector Preferences - Foreign investors are increasingly favoring industry leaders and "Chinese state-owned enterprises," with significant holdings in companies like Kweichow Moutai and China Ping An [9]. - The healthcare, insurance, energy, materials, and internet sectors have seen the most significant increases in foreign investment, while automotive and technology sectors have experienced reductions [9]. Group 5: Future Market Outlook - The market is expected to transition from a valuation-driven "hope" rally to a "growth" rally driven by earnings growth, as the impact of U.S.-China trade tensions diminishes [12]. - UBS forecasts that 2026 will be another prosperous year for the Chinese stock market, driven by innovation, supportive policies, and potential inflows from domestic and international institutional investors [13].