乘联分会·2025-11-20 08:41Core Insights - The Chinese new energy vehicle (NEV) market continues to experience rapid growth, with a production volume of 12.67 million units from January to October 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 28.1% and a cumulative penetration rate of 46.4% [5][7]. Market Trends - The NEV market is driven by policy support, product innovation, and export growth, contributing to a high-quality development trajectory [7]. - By September 2025, the market share of cars (CAR) was 45.1%, a decrease of 1.7 percentage points year-on-year, while SUVs and MPVs accounted for 43.9% and 3.6%, respectively [11]. Vehicle Segmentation - The passenger vehicle segment saw significant growth, with sedans increasing by 15.1% and SUVs by 15.7%. The MPV market experienced a substantial increase of 39.3%, while commercial vehicles, particularly trucks, saw a remarkable growth of 94.6% [11]. Battery Market Dynamics - In September 2025, the installed capacity of NEV power batteries reached 73.7 GWh, marking a year-on-year growth of 39.9% [17]. - The average battery capacity per vehicle was 53.0 kWh, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 17.3% [17]. - BYD, Tesla, and Xiaomi emerged as the leading contributors to the power battery installation volume [17]. Battery Cell Structure - As of September 2025, square cells accounted for 98.6% of the battery cell configuration, while cylindrical and soft-pack cells represented 1.0% and 0.4%, respectively [18]. - Lithium iron phosphate (LFP) batteries are gaining market share due to their safety, cost-effectiveness, and longevity, with expectations to maintain dominance in the mid-to-low-end vehicle segment [18]. Battery Supplier Landscape - The top three battery manufacturers held a market share of 72.2%, with CATL leading at 42.1%. The top ten manufacturers accounted for 95.4% of the market [20]. - Companies like Zhongxin Innovation and Ruipu Lanjun showed significant growth rates of 102.0% and 143.2%, respectively [20]. Electric Drive Motor Supply - By September 2025, the top ten electric drive motor suppliers accounted for 62.7% of the market share, with all companies experiencing a month-on-month increase in supply [22]. Sodium-Ion Battery Development - Sodium-ion battery technology is rapidly advancing, with key advantages including excellent low-temperature performance, fast charging capabilities, high intrinsic safety, and cost/resource benefits [33]. - Applications for sodium-ion batteries include home energy storage, large-scale energy storage, two-wheeled vehicles, electric vehicles, and backup power systems [35]. - Major companies like CATL, Zhongke Haina, and BYD are accelerating the development of sodium-ion battery products [38].