比特币，崩了！近40万人爆仓！

Core Viewpoint - The cryptocurrency market is experiencing significant declines, with Bitcoin dropping below $82,000 and reaching a new low since April 7, indicating a bearish trend in the market [2][8]. Group 1: Market Performance - Bitcoin has seen a drop of over 9%, with a 24-hour decline of up to $11,000, currently trading at $83,973 [2]. - Other cryptocurrencies such as Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL) have also faced declines of -10.8% and -11.7% respectively, with market capitalizations of $32.7 billion and $6.47 billion [4]. - The total liquidation in the cryptocurrency market over the past 24 hours reached $1.914 billion, affecting approximately 392,000 traders, with long positions accounting for $1.78 billion of the liquidations [6][7]. Group 2: Economic Factors - The recent U.S. employment report showed an unexpected increase of 119,000 jobs in September, significantly above the market expectation of 50,000, which has implications for Federal Reserve interest rate decisions [8]. - The likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December is currently estimated at about 42%, with market participants adjusting their expectations following the employment data [10]. - Concerns about the potential for further rate cuts and their impact on financial stability are being raised, as the current financial conditions are described as "quite loose" [11]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that Bitcoin's price is vulnerable, with predictions indicating a potential drop to $75,000 by year-end, as previous bullish drivers like rate cuts have failed to sustain upward momentum [12][13]. - The probability of Bitcoin falling below $90,000 by the end of the year has increased to 50%, while the chances of it surpassing $100,000 by 2025 are estimated at only 30% [13].