全球数据中心投资或超石油，日韩股市周五大幅收跌

Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth - In the first ten months of the year, the broad fiscal expenditure growth rate slowed to 5.2%, while revenue growth was approximately 0.2%, leading to a deficit of about 8.6 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21% [2] - The fiscal expenditure needs to increase significantly in November and December to meet the annual budget targets, with a required year-on-year growth of 12.9% for general public budget expenditure and 40.3% for government fund expenditure [2] - The main areas of fiscal expenditure growth include social security, employment, education, and technology, which are crucial for stabilizing the domestic economy [2] Employment and Economic Challenges in the U.S. - The U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 119,000 in September, significantly exceeding expectations, but the unemployment rate rose to 4.4%, the highest since October 2021 [4] - The job market is shifting from low hiring and low layoffs to low hiring and high layoffs, indicating a more fragile employment situation [5] - Despite the strong job growth in certain sectors, overall hiring demand remains weak, contributing to a higher unemployment rate [5] Global Investment Trends - Global investment in data centers is projected to exceed that in the oil sector, with an expected investment of $580 billion in data centers by 2025, compared to $540 billion in oil [6] - The growth in AI technology is anticipated to drive significant increases in data center electricity consumption, with a doubling of usage expected by 2030 [6] - The trend towards large-scale data center construction is seen as a response to the growing demand for AI applications, despite concerns about potential market bubbles [6][7] ByteDance Valuation and Market Position - ByteDance's valuation has surged to $480 billion following a recent share auction, making it the second most valuable startup globally, just behind OpenAI [8] - The company has a clear revenue model and is not in a rush to go public, focusing instead on maintaining its growth and managing shareholder expectations [8][9] - Regulatory pressures, particularly regarding TikTok in the U.S., pose significant risks to ByteDance's valuation and market stability [9] NetEase Financial Performance - NetEase reported a total revenue of 28.4 billion yuan for Q3 2025, reflecting an 8.2% year-on-year growth, with net profit remaining stable [10] - The company's performance is characterized by a focus on existing game updates rather than new game launches, leading to a relatively stable revenue stream [10][11] - The limited growth in other business segments, such as Youdao and NetEase Cloud Music, has contributed to a lackluster overall performance [10] OpenAI and Foxconn Collaboration - OpenAI has partnered with Foxconn to advance the design and manufacturing of AI infrastructure hardware in the U.S., although no procurement commitments have been made yet [12] - This collaboration is part of a broader strategy to expand AI capabilities and reduce reliance on consumer electronics [12] - The partnership highlights the challenges of establishing a mature AI supply chain in the U.S., which may impact project execution [12] Market Trends and Investor Sentiment - Asian markets, particularly Japan and South Korea, experienced significant declines, influenced by global market sentiments and concerns over AI sector valuations [13][14] - The A-share market also faced downward pressure, with widespread declines across sectors, particularly in energy and new energy industries [15][16] - Investor sentiment has shifted towards skepticism regarding the AI industry, leading to increased selling pressure on tech stocks [16]