广发证券沈明高：以“科技资本”赋能新质生产力 破解科技金融规模化难题

Core Viewpoint - The core challenge of technological financial innovation is transitioning from single-point breakthroughs to scalable development, necessitating the construction of a financial ecosystem that can serve a modern industrial system at scale, thereby nurturing globally competitive tech companies and injecting strong momentum into new productive forces [2]. Summary by Sections Technological Financial Innovation - Emphasis on the need for scaling from "1 to N" in technological financial innovation, with the "14th Five-Year Plan" highlighting many innovative points but lacking replicable models [2]. - The "15th Five-Year Plan" suggests a framework for a modern industrial system, balancing the service of "technological industrialization" and "industrial technologicalization" [2]. Innovation Capitalization - The essence of technological finance is "innovation capitalization," which requires transforming technological innovation into capital returns to support sustainable innovation and iteration [2]. - Five major challenges to achieving innovation capitalization include non-standardization, unprofitability, light asset models, high uncertainty, and long cycles, which traditional financial services struggle to meet [3]. Concept of "Tech Capital" - The concept of "tech capital" is introduced, which should provide additional value such as technological and market understanding alongside financial investment [3]. - "Tech capital" must possess five capabilities: understanding technology, industry, pricing, risk management, and resource allocation [3]. Future Outlook - Artificial intelligence is defined as a "general technology" leading the fourth industrial revolution, with potential for exponential growth in adoption over the next 5-10 years [3]. - The "smart manufacturing industry chain" is expected to become a new pillar of the economy, comparable to real estate, with significant spillover effects [3]. Risk Sharing Mechanism - A focus on establishing a "risk-sharing mechanism" is highlighted as a critical measure to address unmet investment needs in early-stage tech companies [4]. - Recommendations include local governments or private enterprises acting as "subordinate" entities to absorb initial losses, thereby encouraging social capital investment in early-stage and hard technology [5].