铂、钯将有“中国价格”

Core Viewpoint - The launch of platinum and palladium futures and options by the Guangzhou Futures Exchange in late 2025 will provide new opportunities for the clean energy transition in China, addressing the current reliance on foreign markets for price hedging and risk management [3][5][10]. Group 1: Market Context - Platinum and palladium are essential in various clean energy applications, including hydrogen energy catalysis and automotive exhaust purification, but their high prices and volatility pose risks to industry players [3][5]. - China’s domestic production of platinum and palladium is minimal, with only 4.9 tons expected in 2024, while imports are projected at 91.1 tons, accounting for 70.9% of domestic supply [5][6]. - The reliance on imports exposes Chinese companies to international price fluctuations and supply chain vulnerabilities, with over 85% dependency on foreign sources [6][11]. Group 2: Price Volatility and Risk Management - The price volatility of platinum and palladium has exceeded 20% annually over the past five years, with significant fluctuations recorded in both metals [6][10]. - The introduction of futures and options will enhance risk management capabilities for domestic companies, allowing them to hedge against price risks more effectively [10][11]. - The new contracts will be denominated in RMB, eliminating currency risk and aligning with domestic industry needs [11]. Group 3: Demand Growth and Industry Development - The demand for platinum and palladium is expected to rise significantly due to China's "dual carbon" goals, with projections indicating that platinum demand in the hydrogen economy could exceed 25 tons by 2039 [12][14]. - The futures and options market will facilitate the sharing of market information across the entire supply chain, from import to production and recycling, fostering collaborative development [14]. - The establishment of a complete industrial ecosystem through these financial instruments will enhance China's influence in the global clean energy transition [14].