A股掀起并购热潮，市场显现两大新趋势

Core Insights - The merger and acquisition (M&A) market has been significantly active following the introduction of the "Six Merger Policies," with a notable increase in both the number and value of transactions since its announcement on September 24, 2024 [1] - A total of 5,868 M&A events have been disclosed in the A-share market, with 2,745 involving equity transactions by listed companies or their subsidiaries, leading to a total transaction value of 7.49 trillion yuan [1] - Two emerging trends are observed: while industrial mergers remain dominant, there is a growing preference for new productive capacity targets, and the proportion of market-driven transactions is on the rise [1] Market Trends - The proportion of non-related transactions has increased significantly since the "Six Merger Policies" were released, with 1,992 out of 2,745 equity transactions being non-related, accounting for over 70% [3] - In major restructuring transactions, related transactions still dominate, but the share of non-related transactions has risen compared to the previous year [3] - The termination rate for non-related major restructuring transactions is notably high, with 24% of 59 disclosed transactions this year being terminated, compared to 19% for related transactions [5][6] Shift in Market Dynamics - There is a noticeable shift where star enterprises from the primary market are transitioning from being "sellers" to "buyers," actively seeking to acquire small-cap listed companies [10] - Notable cases include Zhiyuan Robotics acquiring a controlling stake in Shangwei New Materials, which marked a significant acquisition in the sci-tech board [10] - The valuation discrepancies between IPOs and M&A transactions create challenges, as many star projects in the primary market struggle to accept the lower valuations offered in M&A deals [11] Implications for Small-Cap Companies - Many small-cap companies face stagnation or loss of competitiveness, leading to a potential "zombie" status, but acquisitions by quality enterprises from the primary market can revitalize these companies [12] - This trend not only enhances the quality of existing listed companies but also aligns with regulatory guidance to facilitate market evolution and reduce friction costs associated with delisting [12]