第一财经·2025-11-26 04:09Core Viewpoint - Vanke's bonds have experienced significant declines, with multiple bonds dropping over 20%, indicating a broader trend of poor performance in the company's domestic bonds since November [3][5]. Group 1: Bond Performance - As of November 26, Vanke's bonds such as "21 Vanke 04" and "22 Vanke 02" have fallen by over 20%, triggering trading halts [3][4]. - The overall performance of Vanke's domestic bonds has been weak, with continuous declines throughout November [3]. Group 2: Stock Price Movement - Vanke A's stock price has dropped to around 6 CNY per share, marking a cumulative decline of over 13% in the last 60 trading days, reaching its lowest point since 2015 [5]. - Vanke Enterprises' stock has also decreased by more than 2%, falling from 5.94 HKD to approximately 4 HKD since September 12 [5]. Group 3: Financing and Debt Management - Vanke signed a framework agreement with Shenzhen Metro Group for a loan of up to 22 billion CNY, with a total loan amount of approximately 236.91 billion CNY [5]. - As of November 2, 2025, Shenzhen Metro has provided Vanke with 203.73 billion CNY in credit loans, with 197.1 billion CNY already drawn [5]. - Vanke's outstanding domestic bond principal and interest due from November 2025 to June 2026 is estimated at 155.46 billion CNY, along with approximately 0.3 billion USD in dollar bond interest [5][6]. Group 4: Risk Management and Future Outlook - The framework agreement is seen as a measure to enhance risk management rather than a reduction in support from Shenzhen Metro, indicating Vanke's need to improve its self-financing capabilities [6]. - Vanke has already repaid approximately 303.25 billion CNY in domestic and foreign bond principal and interest this year, with 165.22 billion CNY funded by Shenzhen Metro's credit loans [6].