Core Insights - The article discusses the performance of major pharmaceutical companies in the third quarter, highlighting Eli Lilly's strong results and Novo Nordisk's struggles due to increased competition in the GLP-1 drug market [3][5]. Group 1: Company Performance - Eli Lilly led the industry with a 10% revenue increase, driven by strong sales of obesity drugs [3]. - Novo Nordisk's performance fell short of expectations, with a 2% revenue decline attributed to intensified competition in the GLP-1 drug sector [3][5]. - Roche's revenue was below expectations due to weak sales of key drugs, raising concerns about its long-term growth prospects [3]. - Other companies like GSK, Bristol-Myers Squibb, and AstraZeneca achieved low single-digit revenue growth, exceeding expectations due to strong core business performance [3]. Group 2: Earnings and Guidance - Pfizer's earnings exceeded expectations by 36%, benefiting from reduced sales, general and administrative expenses, and a lower tax rate [5]. - AbbVie raised its earnings guidance, while Bristol-Myers Squibb's guidance increase was driven by its growth-oriented business mix [7]. - Novo Nordisk has lowered its 2025 earnings guidance four times, leading to a downward adjustment in market expectations for its 2026 revenue and operating profit [7]. Group 3: Currency Impact - Currency fluctuations negatively impacted non-USD denominated pharmaceutical companies' revenues by an average of 5% in the third quarter, while USD-denominated companies saw a 1% benefit [9]. - If current exchange rates persist, non-USD companies are expected to face continued adverse effects on revenue, with potential declines against major currencies [9]. Group 4: Trade Agreements - Major pharmaceutical companies are seeking tariff relief through Most Favored Nation (MFN) agreements, which provide temporary tariff exemptions while requiring companies to continue domestic production [11]. - The impact of these agreements on profitability remains unclear, with Pfizer and Novo Nordisk expecting some negative effects on their 2026 financial forecasts [11][12].
全球制药业洞察 | 礼来领跑、诺和诺德落后:药企巨头2025年业绩指引