重磅催化！逆势买入！

Core Viewpoint - The aerospace sector has experienced a notable pullback since September, but long-term investment value remains significant despite short-term sensitivity to order cycles [2][5][14]. Group 1: Market Performance - Since September, key events such as military parades and military trade orders have led to a clear retreat in the aerospace sector [2][14]. - The aerospace ETF Tianhong (159241) has seen continuous net inflows since September 1, with its scale reaching a new high, growing by 168% since its launch on May 29 [9]. - The overall market showed mixed performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.29% and the ChiNext Index down 0.44% [6]. Group 2: Future Outlook - The aerospace sector is entering a new growth cycle driven by performance perspectives, with the "14th Five-Year Plan" nearing completion and the "15th Five-Year Plan" set to initiate new equipment construction [4][15]. - The upcoming 2025 Asia General Aviation Exhibition, starting November 27, will focus on low-altitude economy and cover the entire general aviation industry chain, with an upgraded scale and participation from nearly 400 enterprises [12]. - The commercial aerospace sector is supported by a new action plan from the National Space Administration, which outlines 22 key measures to promote high-quality development [13][21]. Group 3: Industry Dynamics - The global military trade demand is expected to grow, with China's military trade volume projected to reach $45 billion by 2025, a 30% increase year-on-year [16][17]. - The commercial aerospace market in China is anticipated to grow rapidly, with estimates suggesting a market size of 2.3 trillion yuan in 2024 and a potential increase to 2.5-2.8 trillion yuan in 2025, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of over 20% [21]. - The aerospace sector is expected to benefit from a surge in satellite manufacturing revenue, which saw an 85.28% year-on-year increase in the first three quarters of the year [23]. Group 4: Investment Opportunities - The aerospace sector's growth narrative is multi-dimensional, with short-term benefits from military orders and long-term potential from commercial aerospace and low-altitude economy developments [26]. - Leading companies in the sector, such as AVIC Chengfei, AVIC Shenyang, and Aero Engine Corporation of China, are expected to see improved performance due to a combination of full orders and accelerated deliveries [26]. - The Tianhong Aerospace ETF tracks the aerospace industry index and includes major companies, making it a potentially less risky investment option for investors [26][27].