Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the challenges and pressures faced by the macro economy in the fourth quarter due to external demand slowdown and weakened domestic demand, while also highlighting positive indicators that suggest the potential to meet annual economic growth targets [3]. Economic Performance - From January to October, profits of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 1.9% year-on-year, with a continuous growth trend observed since August [4][5]. - In October, profits of industrial enterprises fell by 5.5% year-on-year, influenced by high base effects and rising financial costs [4]. - The revenue of industrial enterprises above designated size grew by 1.8% year-on-year, supporting profit recovery [4]. Sector Analysis - High-tech and equipment manufacturing sectors were the main drivers of profit growth, with profits in the equipment manufacturing sector rising by 7.8% and high-tech manufacturing profits increasing by 8.0% year-on-year [4][5]. - Traditional industries are also showing signs of improvement, with profits in certain sectors significantly exceeding the industry average [4]. Physical Indicators - Social electricity consumption reached 857.2 billion kWh in October, marking a 10.4% year-on-year increase, the highest monthly growth rate this year [7]. - Railway freight volume reached a historical high, with 3.378 billion tons of goods transported from January to October, a 3% increase year-on-year [7]. - The express delivery business volume grew by 16.1% year-on-year, reaching 162.68 billion pieces in the first ten months [8]. - Excavator sales increased by 17% year-on-year, indicating a recovery in the construction machinery sector [8]. Policy Measures - The government is intensifying growth stabilization policies, including the implementation of "two重" construction to support effective investment and cultivate new productive forces [9][10]. - New policy financial tools and an increase in special bond issuance are expected to bolster infrastructure investment [14]. - The National Development and Reform Commission is promoting the expansion of infrastructure REITs to support investment in various sectors [12][13].
稳投资促消费政策全面加力,经济“收官战”积蓄增长动能
第一财经·2025-11-27 15:36