重磅数据发布！美联储，降息预期突变

Core Viewpoint - The recent decline in initial jobless claims in the U.S. suggests that the employment situation is not deteriorating, despite widespread expectations of a significant interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December [1][5]. Group 1: Employment Data - The U.S. Department of Labor reported that for the week ending November 22, initial jobless claims decreased by 6,000 to 216,000, which was better than the expected 225,000 [2][4]. - Continuing claims, which measure the number of individuals receiving unemployment benefits, rose slightly to 1.96 million, indicating a general upward trend since September [4]. Group 2: Federal Reserve's Interest Rate Decisions - The market anticipates an 85% probability that the Federal Reserve will implement a 25 basis point cut in December, with Goldman Sachs predicting a third consecutive rate cut [5][6]. - However, some institutions, like JPMorgan, argue that the decision on rate cuts is not guaranteed and may depend on various economic indicators and political factors [6][7].