Core Viewpoint - The cryptocurrency market experienced a significant rebound, with Bitcoin rising over 4% and Ethereum over 3%, driven by oversold conditions and expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [1][3][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of November 27, Bitcoin's price reached $91,420, marking a cumulative increase of over 13% from its low of $80,843 on November 21 [3]. - The total liquidation amount in the cryptocurrency market reached $301 million (approximately 2.1 billion RMB), with over 100,000 traders liquidated within 24 hours [1]. Group 2: Factors Driving the Rebound - The rebound is attributed to two main factors: the significant prior decline in prices leading to a technical rebound, and the rising expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut [4]. - The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December has risen to 84.9%, with a 67.2% chance of cumulative cuts by January [4]. Group 3: Federal Reserve Leadership Speculation - Kevin Hassett, the current Director of the National Economic Council, is considered the leading candidate for the next Federal Reserve Chair, which could lead to a more dovish monetary policy [5]. - Hassett has indicated that he would advocate for immediate rate cuts if appointed, reflecting a potential shift in monetary policy direction [5]. Group 4: Market Sentiment and Risks - Despite the recent price rebound, Bitcoin remains over 27% lower than its peak of $126,080 in October, raising concerns about a potential bear market [6]. - Nobel laureate Paul Krugman attributes the recent volatility in Bitcoin prices to the declining popularity of former President Trump, suggesting that political dynamics significantly impact cryptocurrency valuations [8][9].
深夜,全线大涨!美联储,降息大消息!
券商中国·2025-11-27 23:29