景气水平有所改善!国家统计局最新发布
券商中国·2025-11-30 04:24

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent trends in China's Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for November, indicating a mixed economic outlook with slight improvements in manufacturing but a slowdown in non-manufacturing sectors [2][6]. Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing PMI for November is reported at 49.2%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points from the previous month, suggesting an improvement in market confidence [2][3]. - Key indices such as production, new orders, and procurement volume have shown increases, with production index at 50.0% and new orders at 49.2%, indicating recovery in both production and demand [3][4]. - Analysts expect that December will see a stabilization and potential recovery in manufacturing demand, driven by year-end consumption and festive activities [5]. Non-Manufacturing Sector - The non-manufacturing business activity index decreased to 49.5%, down 0.6 percentage points from the previous month, reflecting a slowdown in service-related activities [6][7]. - The decline is attributed to the high base effect from the previous month’s holiday season, impacting sectors like retail, hospitality, and transportation [7]. - However, financial services and information services have shown resilience, with indices above 55%, indicating robust growth in these areas [7]. Investment Outlook - Despite the slowdown in some service sectors, the construction business activity index rose to 49.6%, marking the second increase in the second half of the year [8]. - The business activity expectation index for construction is at 57.9%, indicating renewed confidence among construction firms [8]. - Analysts predict that with the acceleration of key projects and supportive policies, investment will continue to play a crucial role in stabilizing economic growth towards the end of the year [8].